Forums: Index > Watercooler > What are the odds??

For the second game in a row, I've found a ridiculously hard-hitting semi-auto sniper rifle in a red chest in the Lost Cave, first playthrough. Both a L13 S&S PPZ7 Liquid Wrath with barrel 4 and elemental accessory: last game it was Explosive x4, this time it's Shock x4, otherwise the same damned weapon. A nice enough weapon to make my MG-and-SMG-only Soldier consider taking up sniper rifle proficiency. Seriously, it'd probably take this character through the end of the game if he holds onto it. Might as well have THIS MACHINE KILLS ERIDIANS on the stock.

It's coincidences like this that makes one superstitious. I don't remember "always" getting a purple-rarity sniper rifle in the Lost Cave before, but.... Dämmerung 19:28, September 21, 2011 (UTC)

I say it is more of a matter of how you perceive the coincidence, and, more importantly, what you describe as an "event". People have a way of adding every variable into the equation, when they would have been equally blown away had htings turned out differently: Yes, the odds of "finding 2 S&S awesome elemental snipers with barrel 4 inside the lost cave, 2 palythroughs in a row" are astronimacally low... However, you could also define the event as "finding 2 ridiculously good weapons of the same type, each in a different walkthrough but the same place", in which case the odds are not so low. I got my AR590-barrel5-scope2 Ogre from a standard brute. What are the odds of that?

PS: Nice find. happypal (talk • contribs) 09:29, September 22, 2011 (UTC)

Yeah. Human brains are out of control pattern recognition machines, happy to perceive a trend where none exists. But I have to admit that I did keep an eye open for yet another PPZ7 Liq Wra, the next time I ran that map (system crash, had to restart). Dämmerung 20:14, September 22, 2011 (UTC)

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